Publications

2023

Merz, E., Saberski, E., Gilarranz, L. J., Isles, P. D., Sugihara, G., Berger, C., & Pomati, F. (2023). Disruption of ecological networks in lakes by climate change and nutrient fluctuations. Nature Climate Change, 1-8.
Medeiros, L. P., Allesina, S., Dakos, V., Sugihara, G., & Saavedra, S. (2023). Ranking species based on sensitivity to perturbations under non‐equilibrium community dynamics. Ecology Letters, 26(1), 170-183.
Munch, S. B., Rogers, T. L., & Sugihara, G. (2023). Recent developments in empirical dynamic modelling. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 14(3), 732-745.

2022

Park, J., Pao, G.M., Sugihara, G. et al. Empirical mode modeling. Nonlinear Dyn 108, 2147–2160 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11071-022-07311-y
Chen, Z., Xu, M., Gao, B., Sugihara, G., Shen, F., Cai, Y., Li, A., Wu, Q., Yang, L., Yao, Q.and Chen, X., (2022). Causation inference in complicated atmospheric environment. Environmental Pollution, 303, p.119057. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2022.119057
Park, J., & Stabenau, E. (2022). Dynamics of total phosphate in the greater Ecological Indicators, 145, 109574.
Saberski, Erik, et al. “Improved Prediction of Managed Water Flow into Everglades National Park Using Empirical Dynamic Modeling.” Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 148.12 (2022): 05022009.
Deyle, E. R., Bouffard, D., Frossard, V., Schwefel, R., Melack, J., & Sugihara, G. (2022). A hybrid empirical and parametric approach for managing ecosystem complexity: water quality in Lake Geneva under nonstationary futures. Proceedings in the National Academy of Sciences. 119(26), e2102466119.

2021

Lorimer, T., Goodridge, R., Bock, A. K., Agarwal, V., Saberski, E., Sugihara, G., & Rifkin, S. A. (2021). Tracking changes in behavioural dynamics using prediction error. PLOSONE, 16(5). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0251053
Park, J., Saberski, E., Stabenau, E., & Sugihara, G. (2021). Dynamics of Florida milk production and total phosphate in Lake Okeechobee. PLOS ONE, 16(8), 10. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0248910

2020

Giron-Nava, A., Munch, S. B., Johnson, A. F., Deyle, E., James, C. C., Saberski, E., … Sugihara, G. (2020). Circularity in fisheries data weakens real world prediction. Scientific Reports, 10(1). doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-63773-3
Cenci, S., L. Medeiros, G. Sugihara, S. Saavedra (2020): Assessing the predictability of nonlinear dynamics under smooth parameter changes. J. Roy. Soc. Interface 17:20190627. http://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2019.0627
Munch S.B., A. Brias, G. Sugihara, T. L. Rogers: (2020). Frequently asked questions about nonlinear dynamics and empirical dynamic modelling, ICES Journal of Marine Science, Vol. 77, Issue 4, July-August 2020, Pages 1463–1479, https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsz209
Sugihara, G., E.R. Deyle, H. Ye, G. Pao (2020). Detecting Causation Where there is No Correlation. Lecture Notes from Ettore Marjorana, Report from the 57^th Session of the International Seminars on Planetary Emergencies. (Vatican) Erice, Sicily.
Chang C., H. Ye, T. Miki, E. Deyle, S. Souissi, O. Anneville, R. Adrian, Y. Chaing, S. Ichise, M. Kumagai, S. Masuzaki, J. Wu, C. Hsieh, G. Sugihara. (2020): Long-term warming destabilizes aquatic ecosystems through weakening biodiversity-mediated causal networks. Global Change Biology, Vol 26, Issue 11, Pages 6413-6423. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15323
Natsukawa, H., E. Deyle, G. Pao, K. Koyamada & G. Sugihara (2020) A Visual Analytics Approach for Ecosystem Dynamics based on Empirical Dynamic Modeling. EEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics. Print ISSN: 1077-2626. Online ISSN: 1077-2626. DOI 10.1109/TVCG.2020.3028956.
Watanakeesuntorn W, K. Takahashi, K. Ichikawa, J. Park, G. Sugihara, R. Takano, J. Haga, G.M. Pao (2020): “Massively Parallel Causal Inference of Whole Brain Dynamics at Single Neuron Resolution”, 26th International Conference on Parallel and Distributed Systems (ICPADS 2020).
Li, J., M.J. Zyphur, G. Sugihara, & P. Laub (2020): Beyond linearity, stability, and equilibrium: The edm package for empirical dynamic modelling and convergent cross mapping in Stata. The Stata Journal.
Kuriyama P.T., G. Sugihara, A.R. Thompson & B.X. Semmens (2020) Identification of shared spatial dynamics in temperature, salinity, and ichthyoplankton community diversity in the California Current with empirical dynamic modelling. Frontiers in Marine Science, 7:557940 doi: 10.3389/fmars.2020.557940.
Giron A, E. Ezcurra, A. Brias, E, Velarde, E. Deyle, A. Ciscneros-Montemayor, S. Munch, G. Sugihara, O. Aburto-Oropreza (2020): Environmental variability and fishing effects on the Pacific sardine fisheries in the Gulf of California. Can. Jour. Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences.
Nova, N., E.R. Deyle, M.S. Shoket, A.J. MacDonald, M.L. Childs, M.R. Rypdahl, G. Sugihara & E.A. Mordecai (2020): Susceptible host availability modulates climate effects on dengue dynamics. Ecology Letters. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13652
Park, J. C. Smith, G. Sugihara (2020): pyEDM, a python implementation of EDM tools.

2019

Lee, S. W., Yon, D. K., James, C. C., Lee, S., Koh, H. Y., Sheen, Y. H., … Sugihara, G. (2019). Short-term effects of multiple outdoor environmental factors on risk of asthma exacerbations: Age-stratified time-series analysis. Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology, 144(6), 1542-+. doi: 10.1016/j.jaci.2019.08.037
Runge, J., Bathiany, S., Bollt, E., Camps-Valls, G., Coumou, D., Deyle, E., … Zscheischler, J. (2019). Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences. Nature Communications, 10(2553). doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-10105-3
Rypdal, M., & Sugihara, G. (2019). Inter-outbreak stability reflects the size of the susceptible pool and forecasts magnitudes of seasonal epidemics. Nature Communications, 10(2374). doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-10099-y2374
Cenci, S., Sugihara, G., & Saavedra, S. (2019). Regularized S-map for inference and forecasting with noisy ecological time series. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10(5), 650-660. doi: 10.1111/2041-210x.13150
Sguotti, C., S.A. Otto, X. Cormon, K.M. Werner, E.R. Deyle, G. Sugihara and C. Möllmann (2019): Non-linearity in stock–recruitment relationships of Atlantic cod: insights from a multi-model approach. ICES Journal of Marine Science. doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsz113

2018

Munch, S. B., Giron-Nava, A., & Sugihara, G. (2018). Nonlinear dynamics and noise in fisheries recruitment: A global meta-analysis. Fish and Fisheries, 19(6), 964-973. doi: 10.1111/faf.12304
Deyle, E., Schueller, A. M., Ye, H., Pao, G. M., & Sugihara, G. (2018). Ecosystem-based forecasts of recruitment in two menhaden species. Fish and Fisheries, 19(5), 769-781. doi: 10.1111/faf.12287
Sugihara, G., Criddle, K. R., McQuown, M., Giron-Nava, A., Deyle, E., James, C., … Ye, H. (2018). Comprehensive incentives for reducing Chinook salmon bycatch in the Bering Sea walleye Pollock fishery: Individual tradable encounter credits. Regional Studies in Marine Science, 22, 70-81. doi: 10.1016/j.rsma.2018.06.002
Ushio, M., Hsieh, C. H., Masuda, R., Deyle, E. R., Ye, H., Chang, C. W., … Kondoh, M. (2018). Fluctuating interaction network and time-varying stability of a natural fish community. Nature, 554(7692), 360-+. doi: 10.1038/nature25504
Jajcay, N., S. Kravtsov, G. Sugihara, A.A. Tsonis and M. Paluš (2018): Synchronization and causality across time scales in El Niño Southern Oscillation. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 1(1), 33.
Tsonis A.A., Deyle E.R., Ye H., Sugihara G. (2018) Convergent Cross Mapping: Theory and an Example. In: Tsonis A. (eds) Advances in Nonlinear Geosciences. Springer, Cham. http://doi-org-443.webvpn.fjmu.edu.cn/10.1007/978-3-319-58895-7_27

2017

Arndt, T., Florian, G., Philip, C., Takeshi, M., James, W. M., George, S., … Chih-hao, H. (2017). Infections of Wolbachia may destabilize mosquito population dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 428(Supplement C), 98 – 105. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.05.016
Giron-Nava, A., James, C. C., Johnson, A. F., Dannecker, D., Kolody, B., Lee, A., … Sugihara, G. (2017). Quantitative argument for long-term ecological monitoring. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 572, 269-274. doi: 10.3354/meps12149
McGowan, J. A., Deyle, E. R., Ye, H., Carter, M. L., Perretti, C. T., Seger, K. D., … Sugihara, G. (2017). Predicting coastal algal blooms in Southern California. Ecology. doi: 10.1002/ecy.1804
Dakos, V., Glaser, S. M., Hsieh, C. H., & Sugihara, G. (2017). Elevated nonlinearity as an indicator of shifts in the dynamics of populations under stress. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 14(128). doi: 10.1098/risf.2016.0845
Sugihara, G., E.R., Deyle and H. Ye (2017): Reply to Baskerville and Cobey: Misconceptions about causation with synchrony and seasonal drivers. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 201700998

2016

Deyle, E. R., Maher, M. C., Hernandez, R. D., Basu, S., & Sugihara, G. (2016). Global environmental drivers of influenza. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(46), 13081-13086. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1607747113
Ye, H., & Sugihara, G. (2016). Information leverage in interconnected ecosystems: Overcoming the curse of dimensionality. Science, 353(6302), 922-925. doi: 10.1126/science.aag0863
Rikkert, M., Dakos, V., Buchman, T. G., de Boer, R., Glass, L., Cramer, A. O. J., … Scheffer, M. (2016). Slowing down of recovery as generic risk marker for acute severity transitions in chronic diseases. Critical Care Medicine, 44(3), 601-606. doi: 10.1097/ccm.0000000000001564
Deyle, E. R., May, R. M., Munch, S. B., & Sugihara, G. (2016). Tracking and forecasting ecosystem interactions in real time. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 283(1822). doi: 10.1098/rspb.2015.2258

2015

Ye, H., Deyle, E. R., Gilarranz, L. J., & Sugihara, G. (2015). Distinguishing time-delayed causal interactions using convergent cross mapping. Scientific Reports, 5(14750). doi: 10.1038/srep14750
Clark, A. T., Ye, H., Isbell, F., Deyle, E. R., Cowles, J., Tilman, G. D., & Sugihara, G. (2015). Spatial convergent cross mapping to detect causal relationships from short time series. Ecology, 96(5), 1174-1181. doi: 10.1890/14-1479.1.sm
van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M., Brovkin, V., Lenton, T. M., Ye, H., Deyle, E., & Sugihara, G. (2015). Causal feedbacks in climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5(5), 445-448. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2568
Tsonis, A. A., Deyle, E. R., May, R. M., Sugihara, G., Swanson, K., Verbeten, J. D., & Wang, G. L. (2015). Dynamical evidence for causality between galactic cosmic rays and interannual variation in global temperature. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(11), 3253-3256. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1420291112
Ye, H., Beamish, R. J., Glaser, S. M., Grant, S. C. H., Hsieh, C. H., Richards, L. J., … Sugihara, G. (2015). Equation-free mechanistic ecosystem forecasting using empirical dynamic modeling. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(13), E1569-E1576. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1417063112
Sugihara, G. (2015). Niche hierarchy: Structure, organization, and assembly in natural systems. Plantation, FL: J. Ross Publishing.
Ye, H., G. Sugihara, E.R. Deyle, R.M. May, K. Swanson. A.A. Tsonis (2015): The robustness of causal effects of galactic cosmic rays on interannual variation in global temperature. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 112(34), E4640-4641. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1511l080112

2014

Liu, H., Fogarty, M. J., Hare, J. A., Hsieh, C. H., Glaser, S. M., Ye, H., … Sugihara, G. (2014). Modeling dynamic interactions and coherence between marine zooplankton and fishes linked to environmental variability. Journal of Marine Systems, 131, 120-129. doi: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2013.12.003
Glaser, S. M., Ye, H., & Sugihara, G. (2014). A nonlinear, low data requirement model for producing spatially explicit fishery forecasts. Fisheries Oceanography, 23(1), 45-53. doi: 10.1111/fog.12042
National Research Council. 2014. Evaluating the Effectiveness of Fish Stock Rebuilding Plans in the United States. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/18488.

2013

Glaser, S. M., Fogarty, M. J., Liu, H., Altman, I., Hsieh, C., Kaufman, L., … Sugihara, G. (2013). Complex dynamics may limit prediction in marine fisheries. Fish and Fisheries, n/a-n/a. doi: 10.1111/faf.12037
Deyle, E. R., Fogarty, M., Hsieh, C. H., Kaufman, L., MacCall, A. D., Munch, S. B., … Sugihara, G. (2013). Predicting climate effects on Pacific sardine. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110(16), 6430-6435. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1215506110
Perretti, C. T., Sugihara, G., & Munch, S. B. (2013). Nonparametric forecasting outperforms parametric methods for a simulated multispecies system. Ecology, 94(4), 794-800. doi: 10.1890/12-0904.1
Perretti, C. T., Munch, S. B., & Sugihara, G. (2013). Model-free forecasting outperforms the correct mechanistic model for simulated and experimental data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110(13), 5253-5257. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1216076110
Council, N. R. (2013). Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change: Anticipating Surprises. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
Perretti, C. T., S. B. Munch, and G. Sugihara (2013): Reply to Hartig and Dormann: the true model myth. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 110(42): E3976 -E3977.

2012

Sugihara, G., May, R., Ye, H., Hsieh, C. H., Deyle, E., Fogarty, M., & Munch, S. (2012). Detecting causality in complex ecosystems. Science, 338(6106), 496-500. doi: 10.1126/science.1227079
H, L., MJ, F., SM, G., I, A., Ch, H., L, K., … G, S. (2012). Nonlinear dynamic features and co-predictability of the Georges Bank fish community. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 464, 195-207. doi: 10.3354/meps09868

2011

Sugihara, G., Beddington, J., Hsieh, C. H., Deyle, E., Fogarty, M., Glaser, S. M., … Ye, H. (2011). Are exploited fish populations stable?. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 108(48), E1224-E1225. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1112033108
Deyle, E. R., & Sugihara, G. (2011). Generalized theorems for nonlinear state space reconstruction. Plos One, 6(3). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0018295
Glaser, S. M., Ye, H., Maunder, M., MacCall, A., Fogarty, M., & Sugihara, G. (2011). Detecting and forecasting complex nonlinear dynamics in spatially structured catch-per-unit-effort time series for North Pacific albacore (Thunnus alalunga). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 68(3), 400-412. doi: 10.1139/f10-160
Sugihara, G. (2011): On early warning signs. Global Reset. SEED Magazine. January. 60-65.

2010

Tsonis, A. A., Swanson, K. L., Sugihara, G., & Tsonis, P. A. (2010). Climate change and the demise of Minoan civilization. Climate of the Past, 6(4), 525-530. doi: 10.5194/cp-6-525-2010
Sugihara, G. (2010): Nature is nonlinear. Biodiversity. Kyoto Journal. 75, 56

2009

Scheffer, M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W. A., Brovkin, V., Carpenter, S. R., Dakos, V., … Sugihara, G. (2009). Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature, 461(7260), 53-59. doi: 10.1038/nature08227
Hsieh, C. H., Kim, H. J., Watson, W., Di Lorenzo, E., & Sugihara, G. (2009). Climate-driven changes in abundance and distribution of larvae of oceanic fishes in the southern California region. Global Change Biology, 15(9), 2137-2152. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01875.x
Swanson, K. L., Sugihara, G., & Tsonis, A. A. (2009). Long-term natural variability and 20th century climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106(38), 16120-16123. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0908699106
Kilcik, A., Anderson, C. N. K., Rozelot, J. P., Ye, H., Sugihara, G., & Ozguc, A. (2009). Nonlinear prediction of solar cycle 24. Astrophysical Journal, 693(2), 1173-1177. doi: 10.1088/0004-637x/693/2/1173
Sugihara, G., Gruver, J., Haeflinger, K., & Ye, H. (2009). Reducing Chinook salmon bycatch with market-based incentives: individual tradable encounter credits (ITEC)
Fagre, D. B., Charles, C. W., Allen, C. D., Birkeland, C., Chapin, F. S., Groffman, P. M., … Sugihara, G. (2009). Thresholds of climate change in ecosystems final report (Synthesis and assessment product, 4.2).
Sugihara, G., Ye, H. Cooperative network dynamics. Nature 458, 979–980 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1038/458979a

2008

Hsieh, C. H., Reiss, C. S., Hewitt, R. P., & Sugihara, G. (2008). Spatial analysis shows that fishing enhances the climatic sensitivity of marine fishes. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 65(5), 947-961. doi: 10.1139/f08-017
Anderson, C. N. K., Hsieh, C. H., Sandin, S. A., Hewitt, R., Hollowed, A., Beddington, J., … Sugihara, G. (2008). Why fishing magnifies fluctuations in fish abundance. Nature, 452(7189), 835-839. doi: 10.1038/nature06851
Hsieh, C. H., Anderson, C., & Sugihara, G. (2008). Extending Nonlinear analysis to short ecological time series. American Naturalist, 171(1), 71-80. doi: 10.1086/524202
May, R., Levin, S. & Sugihara, G. Complex systems: Ecology for bankers. Nature 451, 893–894 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1038/451893a

2007

Maye, A., Hsieh, C. H., Sugihara, G., & Bhttps://doi.org/10.1038/451893arembs, B. (2007). Order in spontaneous behavior. Plos One, 2(5). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0000443
Sugihara, G. (2007). Tradable bycatch credits create new markets that reward careful fishing. Conservation Magazine, 8(3), 29-30.
May, R. M., Crawley, M. J., & Sugihara, G. (2007). Communities: patterns. Theoretical ecology: principles and applications. Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press.

2006

Hsieh, C. H., Reiss, C. S., Hunter, J. R., Beddington, J. R., May, R. M., & Sugihara, G. (2006). Fishing elevates variability in the abundance of exploited species. Nature, 443(7113), 859-862. doi: 10.1038/nature05232
Southwood, T. R. E., May, R. M., & Sugihara, G. (2006). Observations on related ecological exponents. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 103(18), 6931-6933. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0600988103

2005

Hsieh, C. H., Glaser, S. M., Lucas, A. J., & Sugihara, G. (2005). Distinguishing random environmental fluctuations from ecological catastrophes for the North Pacific Ocean. Nature, 435(7040), 336-340. doi: 10.1038/nature03553
Hsieh, C. H., Reiss, C., Watson, W., Allen, M. J., Hunter, J. R., Lea, R. N., … Sugihara, G. (2005). A comparison of long-term trends and variability in populations of larvae of exploited and unexploited fishes in the Southern California region: A community approach. Progress in Oceanography, 67(1-2), 160-185. doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2005.05.002

2004

Sala, E., & Sugihara, G. (2004). Food-web theory provides guidelines for marine conservation. Aquatic food webs: an ecosystem approach (pp. 170-183). Oxford: Oxford University Press.

2003

Sugihara, G., Bersier, L. F., Southwood, T. R. E., Pimm, S. L., & May, R. M. (2003). Predicted correspondence between species abundances and dendrograms of niche similarities. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 100(9), 5246-5251. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0831096100

2001

Dixon, P., Milicich, M. J., & Sugihara, G. (2001). Noise and nonlinearity in an ecological system. Nonlinear dynamics and statistics (pp. 339-364). Boston: Birkhhauser.

2000

Courchamp, F., Langlais, M., & Sugihara, G. (2000). Rabbits killing birds: modelling the hyperpredation process. Journal of Animal Ecology, 69(1), 154-164. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2656.2000.00383.x

1999

Sugihara, G., Casdagli, M., Habjan, E., Hess, D., Dixon, P., & Holland, G. (1999). Residual delay maps unveil global patterns of atmospheric nonlinearity and produce improved local forecasts. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 96(25), 14210-14215. doi: 10.1073/pnas.96.25.14210
Courchamp, F., Langlais, M., & Sugihara, G. (1999). Control of rabbits to protect island birds from cat predation. Biological Conservation, 89(2), 219-225. doi: 10.1016/s0006-3207(98)00131-1
Bersier, L. F., Dixon, P., & Sugihara, G. (1999). Scale-invariant or scale-dependent behavior of the link density property in food webs: A matter of sampling effort?. American Naturalist, 153(6), 676-682. doi: 10.1086/303200
Courchamp, F., Langlais, M., & Sugihara, G. (1999). Cats protecting birds: modelling the mesopredator release effect. Journal of Animal Ecology, 68(2), 282-292. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2656.1999.00285.x
Dixon, P. A., Milicich, M. J., & Sugihara, G. (1999). Episodic fluctuations in larval supply. Science, 283(5407), 1528-1530. doi: 10.1126/science.283.5407.1528
Courchamp, F., & Sugihara, G. (1999). Modeling the biological control of an alien predator to protect island species from extinction. Ecological Applications, 9(1), 112-123. doi: 10.2307/2641172

1998

Segundo, J. P., Sugihara, G., Dixon, P., Stiber, M., & Bersier, L. F. (1998). The spike trains of inhibited pacemaker neurons seen through the magnifying glass of nonlinear analyses. Neuroscience, 87(4), 741-766.
Sugihara, G., May, R. Nonlinear forecasting as a way of distinguishing chaos from measurement error in time series. Nature 344, 734–741 (1990). https://doi.org/10.1038/344734a0
Bersier, L. F. and G. Sugihara (1998): The behavior of link-density in food webs with increasing sampling effort: From scale invariance to scale dependence. Rev. Suisse Zool. 105, 74 I -749

1997

Sugihara, G., Bersier, L. F., & Schoenly, K. (1997). Effects of taxonomic and trophic aggregation on food web properties. Oecologia, 112(2), 272-284. doi: 10.1007/s004420050310
Bersier, L. F., & Sugihara, G. (1997). Species abundance patterns: the problem of testing stochastic models. Journal of Animal Ecology, 66(5), 769-774. doi: 10.2307/5927
Bersier, L. F., & Sugihara, G. (1997). Scaling regions for food web properties. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 94(4), 1247-1251. doi: 10.1073/pnas.94.4.1247

1996

Sugihara, G., Allan, W., Sobel, D., & Allan, K. D. (1996). Nonlinear control of heart rate variability in human infants. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 93(6), 2608-2613. doi: 10.1073/pnas.93.6.2608
Bersier, L. F., & Sugihara, G. (1996). Scale invariance versus size dependence in food web properties. Rev. Suisse Zool., 103, 799.
Bersier, L. F., & Sugihara, G. (1996). A correspondence between two classical notions of community structure. Rev. Suisse Zool., 102, 855.

1995

Dixon, P., Hobday, A., & Sugihara, G. (1995). Review of “Fractals in Science”, Armin Bunde, Shlomo Havlin (Eds.). Springer-Verlag, Oxford (1994). Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 57(6), 939-941. doi: 10.1016/S0092-8240(95)80009-3
Sugihara, G., & Hobday, A. (1995). One thousand words = one millipicture; Review of “Fractals in biology and medicine” by T. F. Nonnenmacker, G. A. Losa, E. R. Weibel (eds.), Birkhauser (1994). Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 10(2), 89-90. doi: 10.1016/S0169-5347(00)88992-2
Sugihara, G. (1995). Prediction as a criterion for classifying nature time series. Chaos and forecasting (Proceedings of the Royal Society Discussion Meeting, London, 2 -3 March 1994) (pp. 269-294). Singapore: World Scientific.
Sugihara, G. From out of the blue. Nature 378, 559–560 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1038/378559a0

1994

Sugihara, G. (1994). Nonlinear forecasting for the classification of natural time series. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series a-Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences, 348(1688), 477-495. doi: 10.1098/rsta.1994.0106

1993

Yamazaki, H., Sugihara, G., Kirkpatrick, G. J., & Kamykowski, D. (1993). Is the photosynthetic process nonlinear?. Journal of Plankton Research, 15(11), 1297-1308. doi: 10.1093/plankt/15.11.1297
Hastings, H. M., & G., S. (1993). Fractals: a user’s guide for the natural sciences. Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press.

1990

Sugihara, G., Grenfell, B., & May, R. M. (1990). Distinguishing error from chaos in ecological time series. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences, 330(1257), 235-251. doi: 10.1098/rstb.1990.0195
Sugihara, G., & May, R. M. (1990). Nonlinear forecasting as a way of distinguishing chaos from measurement error in time series. Nature, 344(6268), 734-741. doi: 10.1038/344734a0
Sugihara, G., & May, R. M. (1990). Applications of fractals in ecology. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 5(3), 79-86. doi: 10.1016/0169-5347(90)90235-6

1989

Sugihara, G., Schoenly, K., & Trombla, A. (1989). Scale invariance in food web properties. Science, 245(4913), 48-52. doi: 10.1126/science.2740915
Sugihara, G. (1989). How do species divide resources?. American Naturalist, 133(3), 458-463. doi: 10.1086/284929
Sugihara.G. (1989): Some theoretical approaches to ecosystem assembly. Japan -U.S. ORNL Symp Vol

1988

O’Neill, R. V., Krummel, J. R., Gardner, R. H., Sugihara, G., Jackson, B., DeAngelis, D. L., … Graham, R. L. (1988). Indices of landscape pattern. Landscape Ecology, 1(3), 153-162. doi: 10.1007/bf00162741

1987

Sugihara, G. (1987). Hirata’s stability analysis defended. International Journal of Systems Science, 18(7), 1391-1393. doi: 10.1080/00207728708967119
Krummel, J. R., Gardner, R. H., Sugihara, G., Oneill, R. V., & Coleman, P. R. (1987). Landscape patterns in a disturbed environment. Oikos, 48(3), 321-324. doi: 10.2307/3565520
Sugihara, G. (1987). A necessary and sufficient assembly rule for real ecosystems. Mathematical Topics in Population Biology, Morphogenesis and Neurosciences (pp. 53-59). : Springer Berlin Heidelberg. doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-93360-8_5

1986

Sugihara, G. (1986). Shuffled sticks: on calculating nonrandom niche overlaps. American Naturalist, 127(4), 554-560. doi: 10.1086/284502

1984

Livdahl, T. P., & Sugihara, G. (1984). Non-linear interactions of populations and the importance of estimating per-capita rates of change. Journal of Animal Ecology, 53(2), 573-580. doi: 10.2307/4535
Sugihara, G. (1984): Ecosystem Dynamics. (In): Exploitation of Marine Communities. Dahlem Konferenzen. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp. 131-153.
Sugihara, G. (1984): Graph theory, homology and food Webs. In: American Mathematical Society: Lecture notes in Biomathematics, ed. S. A. Levin.

1983

Siegel, A. F., & Sugihara, G. (1983). Moments of particle size distributions under sequential breakage with applications to species abundance. Journal of Applied Probability, 20(1), 158-164. doi: 10.2307/3213730
DeAngelis, D. L., Post, W. M., & G., S. (1983). Current trends in food web theory (Report on a food web workshop, October 25-27, 1982, Fontana Village Inn, North Carolina). , 137.
Sugihara, G. (1983). Holes in niche space: a derived assembly rule and its relation to intervality. Current trends in food web theory (Report on a food web workshop, October 25-27, 1982, Fontana Village Inn, North Carolina) (pp. 25-36). Oak Ridge, Tenn.: Oak Ridge National Laboratory.
Sugihara, G. (1983): Minimal community structure: an explanation of species abundance patterns. Reprinted in the series “Benchmark Papers in Ecology,” ed. Frank B. Golley
Sugihara, G. Peeling apart nature. Nature 304, 94 (1983). https://doi.org/10.1038/304094a0

1982

Sugihara, G. (1982). Diversity as a concept and Its measurement: Comment. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 77(379), 564-565. doi: 10.2307/2287711

1981

Sugihara, G. (1981). S = CAz, Z = 1/4: a reply to Connor and McCoy. American Naturalist, 117(5), 790-793. doi: 10.1086/283762
Sugihara, G., & Heston, K. (1981). Field notes on winter flocks of the ocellated turkey (Agriocharis ocellata). Auk, 98(2), 396-398.

1980

Sugihara, G. (1980). Minimal community structure: an explanation of species abundance patterns. American Naturalist, 116(6), 770-787. doi: 10.1086/283669